This quarter’s data show that China is avoiding this

The consumer inflation rate was 1.8 percent year-on-year and produce

r prices went up only 0.2 percent. A standard rule of thumb used by central bankers wor

ldwide is that the inflation rate should be targeted at about 2 percent per year

. This rule is actually built in to the mandate of the European Central Bank. So, the stable monetary policy of the Peop

le’s Bank of China, the nation’s central bank, is working.

The March unemployment rate in urban areas was 5.

2 percent, slightly below the level last year. Most economists define “full employ

ment” as anything below 6 percent, so we are not seeing significant pro

blematic unemployment even during a period of major economic transformation.